Donald Trump has a two-point edge over Hillary Clinton in the latest CNN/ORC national survey of likely voters out Tuesday, as the Democratic nominee’s post-convention lead has largely evaporated.
Among those likely to vote in two months, Trump took 45 percent to Clinton’s 43 percent, while Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson earned 7 percent and Green Party nominee Jill Stein had 2 percent. But among all registered voters surveyed, Clinton leads by 3 points, 44 percent to 41 percent, while Johnson took 9 percent and Stein 3 percent.
Women support Clinton by 15 points (53 percent to 38 percent), while men are behind Trump by a larger margin of 22 points (54 percent to 32 percent). Among those younger than 45, Clinton leads 54 percent to 29 percent, while among those older than 45, Trump leads 54 percent to 39 percent.
Regardless of whom they support, however, nearly six in 10 — 59 percent — said they thought Clinton would ultimately prevail in November, while 34 percent said Trump would.
The Republican nominee has a slightly higher favorability rating than Clinton among likely voters, although both are still underwater. Trump is seen favorably by 45 percent and unfavorably by 55 percent, while Clinton is at 42 percent to 56 percent. The disparity between the two candidates is lessened among registered voters.
The poll was conducted via landlines and cellphones from Sept. 1-4, surveying 1,001 adults with an overall margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, including 886 registered voters and 786 likely voters.